Super League
— Zambia
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.04)
0.69 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 21.1% | 12.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Green Buffaloes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ZESCO United | 0 | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 13% |
| Defense | 53% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| Wins | 56% | 20% | 37% | 33% | 13% | 25% |
| Draws | 22% | 20% | 21% | 42% | 50% | 45% |
| Loses | 22% | 60% | 42% | 25% | 38% | 30% |
Form: ZESCO United: WDWWLLLDLWDWDLWWLLL • Green Buffaloes: WLWLDDDLWDLDDWLDDWDL
League goals
| Metric | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 6 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 58% | 65% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 21% | 20% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ZESCO United | Green Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 60.2% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : ZESCO United or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ZESCO United = 1.90 (league 1.04), Green Buffaloes = 0.69 (league 0.70)
| Green Buffaloes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ZESCO United | 0 | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 12.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1