Super League
— Zambia
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Nkoloma Stadium
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.04)
0.33 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9% | 24.0% | 7.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Kabwe Warriors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Red Arrows | 0 | 15.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 29% | 43% |
| Defense | 79% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 85% | 21% | 52% | 58% | 31% | 44% |
| Draws | 15% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 31% | 28% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 15% | 17% | 38% | 28% |
Form: Red Arrows: WDWWDWWDWWWDWLLWDDWLDWLWDDW • Kabwe Warriors: DDDWWLWWWLDWLDLLWDLWWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 12 | 36 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 52% | 64% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 11% | 20% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Red Arrows | Kabwe Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Red Arrows or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Red Arrows = 1.55 (league 1.04), Kabwe Warriors = 0.33 (league 0.72)
| Kabwe Warriors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Red Arrows | 0 | 15.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 7.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1