Super League
— Zambia
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Edwin Imboela Stadium
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.05)
0.62 (league 0.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.4% | 32.1% | 20.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Mutondo Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Buffaloes | 0 | 17.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 21% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 33% | 10% | 23% | 42% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 42% | 50% | 45% | 33% | 55% | 43% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 32% | 25% | 45% | 35% |
Form: Green Buffaloes: WLWLDDDLWDLDDWLDDWDLLD • Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLLDDDWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 73% | 52% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 27% | 9% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mutondo Stars and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Green Buffaloes = 1.12 (league 1.05), Mutondo Stars = 0.62 (league 0.71)
| Mutondo Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Buffaloes | 0 | 17.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 20.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1