Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.60) 0.86 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 38.6% 43.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
0 - 1
23.7%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dorados 0 27.5% 23.7% 10.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 10.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDoradosAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack18%41%
Defense47%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dorados Alebrijes de Oaxaca
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins33%0%14%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%17%
Loses67%100%86%100%67%83%

Form: Dorados: LLWLLLL • Alebrijes de Oaxaca: LLDLLL

League goals

Metric Dorados Alebrijes de Oaxaca
HATHAT
GF total123448
GF avg0.30.50.41.31.31.3
GA total211139716
GA avg0.72.81.93.02.32.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDoradosAlebrijes de Oaxaca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%86%67%100%
1.50%57%33%83%
2.50%43%17%50%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDoradosAlebrijes de Oaxaca
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricDoradosAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDoradosAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Wins10
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses0-13-00-33-1
Goals For1142
Goals Against1353

Model comparison

MetricDoradosAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Form75%25%
Att30%70%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alebrijes de Oaxaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away3.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.35 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dorados = 0.43 (league 1.60), Alebrijes de Oaxaca = 0.86 (league 1.06)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dorados 0 27.5% 23.7% 10.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 10.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 43.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1