Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.60) 1.33 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 28.2% 47.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tepatitlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Zacatecas 0 11.4% 15.1% 10.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack41%53%
Defense41%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mineros de Zacatecas Tepatitlán
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins33%25%29%25%50%38%
Draws67%25%43%50%50%50%
Loses0%50%29%25%0%13%

Form: Mineros de Zacatecas: DWWDLDL • Tepatitlán: DDWWWDDL

League goals

Metric Mineros de Zacatecas Tepatitlán
HATHAT
GF total56115813
GF avg1.71.51.61.32.01.6
GA total2911336
GA avg0.72.31.60.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%75%63%
1.557%43%38%13%
2.529%29%38%0%
3.50%14%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricMineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
Wins23
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-01-4
Biggest losses3-01-2
Goals For3334
Goals Against2421

Model comparison

MetricMineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
Form38%62%
Att44%56%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tepatitlán

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 188Bet
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.96 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Zacatecas = 0.85 (league 1.60), Tepatitlán = 1.33 (league 1.06)

Tepatitlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Zacatecas 0 11.4% 15.1% 10.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 47.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1