Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Morelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.37 (league 1.60) 1.13 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.2% 11.5% 8.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.1%
3 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Atlante FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 6.0% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.0% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonarcasAtlante FC
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack25%46%
Defense61%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monarcas Atlante FC
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%0%43%75%33%57%
Draws0%50%29%25%0%14%
Loses0%50%29%0%67%29%

Form: Monarcas: DWLWDWL • Atlante FC: DLWLWWW

League goals

Metric Monarcas Atlante FC
HATHAT
GF total831111516
GF avg2.70.81.62.81.72.3
GA total21113268
GA avg0.72.81.90.52.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonarcasAtlante FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%86%57%
1.557%43%57%29%
2.529%29%43%29%
3.50%14%29%0%
4.50%14%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonarcasAtlante FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricMonarcasAtlante FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMonarcasAtlante FC
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—5-10-3
Biggest losses—5-0—3-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against1513

Model comparison

MetricMonarcasAtlante FC
Form37%63%
Att35%65%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlante FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.82 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monarcas = 3.37 (league 1.60), Atlante FC = 1.13 (league 1.06)

Atlante FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 6.0% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.0% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1