Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Tlahuicole
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.61) 1.88 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 22.4% 47.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
CA La Paz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tlaxcala 0 3.6% 6.8% 6.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.2% 9.8% 9.2% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.0% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTlaxcalaCA La Paz
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack25%46%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tlaxcala CA La Paz
HATHAT
Played448437
Wins50%25%38%50%33%43%
Draws25%25%25%25%33%29%
Loses25%50%38%25%33%29%

Form: Tlaxcala: DLLLDWWW • CA La Paz: LDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Tlaxcala CA La Paz
HATHAT
GF total4488614
GF avg1.01.01.02.02.02.0
GA total49134711
GA avg1.02.31.61.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTlaxcalaCA La Paz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%86%86%
1.538%50%57%57%
2.50%25%57%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTlaxcalaCA La Paz
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricTlaxcalaCA La Paz
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTlaxcalaCA La Paz
Wins00
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-02-3
Biggest losses0-23-01-22-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricTlaxcalaCA La Paz
Form50%50%
Att35%65%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution46%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total43.0%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CA La Paz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 10Bet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tlaxcala = 1.43 (league 1.61), CA La Paz = 1.88 (league 1.06)

CA La Paz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tlaxcala 0 3.6% 6.8% 6.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.2% 9.8% 9.2% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.0% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1