Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Sergio León Chávez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.60) 0.71 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.2% 15.1% 8.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Correcaminos Uat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Irapuato 0 4.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIrapuatoCorrecaminos Uat
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack27%53%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 119 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Irapuato Correcaminos Uat
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%50%50%0%25%11%
Draws50%0%25%20%50%33%
Loses0%50%25%80%25%56%

Form: Irapuato: WLWLDWDW • Correcaminos Uat: DDLWLLLDL

League goals

Metric Irapuato Correcaminos Uat
HATHAT
GF total85137613
GF avg2.01.31.61.41.51.4
GA total281015823
GA avg0.52.01.33.02.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIrapuatoCorrecaminos Uat
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%89%
1.550%25%33%67%
2.525%25%11%33%
3.513%25%0%33%
4.50%0%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIrapuatoCorrecaminos Uat
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricIrapuatoCorrecaminos Uat
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricIrapuatoCorrecaminos Uat
Wins11
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-2—0-2
Biggest losses—4-03-65-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against1465

Model comparison

MetricIrapuatoCorrecaminos Uat
Form89%11%
Att33%67%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.3%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Irapuato or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ 188Bet
Draw5.13 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No2.18 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Irapuato = 2.50 (league 1.60), Correcaminos Uat = 0.71 (league 1.06)

Correcaminos Uat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Irapuato 0 4.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.2% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1