Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Guaycura
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.62) 0.76 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 38.5% 35.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.2%
0 - 1
19.2%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cancún
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA La Paz 0 25.2% 19.2% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 11.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCA La PazCancún
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack79%42%
Defense53%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CA La Paz Cancún
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%100%50%75%
Draws25%50%38%0%25%13%
Loses25%25%25%0%25%13%

Form: CA La Paz: LDLDWWWD • Cancún: WWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric CA La Paz Cancún
HATHAT
GF total891710313
GF avg2.02.32.12.50.81.6
GA total41014022
GA avg1.02.51.80.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCA La PazCancún
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%88%13%
1.563%63%25%13%
2.563%25%25%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCA La PazCancún
HATHAT
Clean sheets101437
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricCA La PazCancún
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricCA La PazCancún
Wins34
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-02-1
Goals For3351
Goals Against2302

Model comparison

MetricCA La PazCancún
Form52%48%
Att65%35%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals35%65%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cancún

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ 188Bet
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.62 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CA La Paz = 0.62 (league 1.62), Cancún = 0.76 (league 1.05)

Cancún
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA La Paz 0 25.2% 19.2% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 11.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 35.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1