Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.97 (league 1.62) 0.95 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 7.5% 4.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
7.6%
4 - 0
7.5%
3 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dorados
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.5% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
5 6.0% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones Negros UDGDorados
Played55
Form20%0%
Attack30%25%
Defense60%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros UDG Dorados
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins25%25%25%20%0%11%
Draws50%25%38%0%0%0%
Loses25%50%38%80%100%89%

Form: Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLL • Dorados: LLWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Leones Negros UDG Dorados
HATHAT
GF total9312426
GF avg2.30.81.50.80.50.7
GA total841271118
GA avg2.01.01.51.42.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones Negros UDGDorados
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%56%89%
1.550%38%11%67%
2.513%13%0%44%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones Negros UDGDorados
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricLeones Negros UDGDorados
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLeones Negros UDGDorados
Wins21
Draws30
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-21-0—
Biggest losses2-31-02-33-0
Goals For4221
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricLeones Negros UDGDorados
Form100%0%
Att55%45%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h100%0%
Goals93%7%
Total72.0%28.0%

Advice: Winner : Leones Negros UDG

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Bet365
Draw5.29 @ Pinnacle
Away6.98 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros UDG = 3.97 (league 1.62), Dorados = 0.95 (league 1.05)

Dorados
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.5% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
5 6.0% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 7.5% · Away win 4.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1