Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.61) 0.98 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 28.6% 29.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Zacatecas 0 10.8% 10.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mineros de Zacatecas Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins25%25%25%40%25%33%
Draws75%25%50%40%25%33%
Loses0%50%25%20%50%33%

Form: Mineros de Zacatecas: DWWDLDLD • Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLW

League goals

Metric Mineros de Zacatecas Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
GF total861411314
GF avg2.01.51.82.20.81.6
GA total59148412
GA avg1.32.31.81.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%78%89%
1.563%50%56%33%
2.538%38%11%11%
3.50%13%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricMineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
Wins22
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-21-2
Biggest losses—3-02-31-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3431

Model comparison

MetricMineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
Form38%63%
Att53%47%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total38.2%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros UDG

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away4.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Unibet
No2.13 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Zacatecas = 1.25 (league 1.61), Leones Negros UDG = 0.98 (league 1.06)

Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Zacatecas 0 10.8% 10.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 29.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1