Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.60) 1.33 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.5% 28.4% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cancún
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tepatitlán 0 12.0% 15.8% 10.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.8% 5.1% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTepatitlánCancún
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack88%88%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tepatitlán Cancún
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins40%33%36%80%60%70%
Draws40%50%45%20%20%20%
Loses20%17%18%0%20%10%

Form: Tepatitlán: DDWWWDDLDWL • Cancún: WWWWDWLWWD

League goals

Metric Tepatitlán Cancún
HATHAT
GF total8111910717
GF avg1.61.81.72.01.41.7
GA total5712044
GA avg1.01.21.10.00.80.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTepatitlánCancún
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%80%20%
1.545%27%30%20%
2.545%9%30%0%
3.59%0%20%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTepatitlánCancún
HATHAT
Clean sheets213538
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricTepatitlánCancún
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTepatitlánCancún
Wins34
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-45-02-4
Biggest losses1-21-02-1
Goals For3454
Goals Against2302

Model comparison

MetricTepatitlánCancún
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cancún

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away4.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.94 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tepatitlán = 0.80 (league 1.60), Cancún = 1.33 (league 1.06)

Cancún
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tepatitlán 0 12.0% 15.8% 10.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.8% 5.1% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1