Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Sergio León Chávez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.19 (league 1.60) 0.57 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.3% 4.5% 1.7%
best score tips
4 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
10.5%
5 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Monarcas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Irapuato 0 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.0% 6.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIrapuatoMonarcas
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack78%44%
Defense89%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Irapuato Monarcas
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%40%50%60%0%30%
Draws40%20%30%20%40%30%
Loses0%40%20%20%60%40%

Form: Irapuato: WLWLDWDWWD • Monarcas: DWLWDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Irapuato Monarcas
HATHAT
GF total125178513
GF avg2.41.01.71.61.01.3
GA total381141418
GA avg0.61.61.10.82.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIrapuatoMonarcas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%50%60%80%
1.550%20%50%50%
2.530%20%20%30%
3.520%20%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIrapuatoMonarcas
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricIrapuatoMonarcas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricIrapuatoMonarcas
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-0—
Biggest losses—4-00-25-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against1425

Model comparison

MetricIrapuatoMonarcas
Form73%27%
Att64%36%
Def90%10%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total79.0%21.0%

Advice: Winner : Irapuato

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away3.42 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.17 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Irapuato = 4.19 (league 1.60), Monarcas = 0.57 (league 1.06)

Monarcas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Irapuato 0 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.0% 6.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.3% · Draw 4.5% · Away win 1.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1