Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stade de la Neuville
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.40 (league 1.56) 2.07 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 4.3% 3.3%
best score tips
5 - 2
4.0%
5 - 1
3.9%
4 - 2
3.1%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior Virton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Charleroi II 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 1.9% 3.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting Charleroi IIExcelsior Virton
Played44
Form75%58%
Attack65%71%
Defense76%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.812 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 112 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

97%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Charleroi II Excelsior Virton
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%0%25%0%50%25%

Form: Sporting Charleroi II: LWWW • Excelsior Virton: WLWD

League goals

Metric Sporting Charleroi II Excelsior Virton
HATHAT
GF total56118412
GF avg2.53.02.84.02.03.0
GA total3144812
GA avg1.50.51.02.04.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting Charleroi IIExcelsior Virton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%100%
1.575%25%100%100%
2.575%0%50%25%
3.525%0%25%25%
4.50%0%25%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting Charleroi IIExcelsior Virton
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSporting Charleroi IIExcelsior Virton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSporting Charleroi IIExcelsior Virton
Wins01
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-35-2
Biggest losses1-26-2
Goals For4352
Goals Against2126

Model comparison

MetricSporting Charleroi IIExcelsior Virton
Form56%44%
Att48%52%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Sporting Charleroi II and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away2.48 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting Charleroi II = 6.40 (league 1.56), Excelsior Virton = 2.07 (league 1.45)

Excelsior Virton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Charleroi II 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 1.9% 3.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 4.3% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1