Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Yvan Georges
Match Finished
Expected Goals
7.68 (league 1.56) 1.65 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 1.6% 0.9%
best score tips
5 - 1
3.3%
5 - 2
2.7%
4 - 1
2.1%
Score & goals probability table
Rochefort
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsior VirtonRochefort
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack100%55%
Defense0%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Virton Rochefort
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%0%40%100%0%60%
Draws0%67%40%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%100%40%

Form: Excelsior Virton: WLWDD • Rochefort: WLLWW

League goals

Metric Excelsior Virton Rochefort
HATHAT
GF total8614606
GF avg4.02.02.82.00.01.2
GA total41014369
GA avg2.03.32.81.03.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsior VirtonRochefort
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%60%80%
1.5100%100%40%40%
2.540%20%20%20%
3.520%20%0%20%
4.520%20%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsior VirtonRochefort
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricExcelsior VirtonRochefort
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricExcelsior VirtonRochefort
Wins11
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-23-2
Biggest losses6-25-0
Goals For5230
Goals Against2625

Model comparison

MetricExcelsior VirtonRochefort
Form47%53%
Att70%30%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Excelsior Virton and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.22 @ 1xBet
Away4.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 1xBet
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior Virton = 7.68 (league 1.56), Rochefort = 1.65 (league 1.45)

Rochefort
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1