Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Yvan Georges
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.70 (league 1.56) 1.79 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 5.2% 4.1%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.0%
5 - 2
4.5%
4 - 1
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Union Saint-Gilloise II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 2.5% 4.4% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.8% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsior VirtonUnion Saint-Gilloise II
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack100%55%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

66%
FT probability

BTTS

93%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Virton Union Saint-Gilloise II
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws33%67%50%33%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%67%100%83%

Form: Excelsior Virton: WLWDDD • Union Saint-Gilloise II: DLLLLL

League goals

Metric Excelsior Virton Union Saint-Gilloise II
HATHAT
GF total10616347
GF avg3.32.02.71.01.31.2
GA total610167815
GA avg2.03.32.72.32.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsior VirtonUnion Saint-Gilloise II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%83%100%
1.5100%100%33%67%
2.533%17%0%50%
3.517%17%0%33%
4.517%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsior VirtonUnion Saint-Gilloise II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricExcelsior VirtonUnion Saint-Gilloise II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricExcelsior VirtonUnion Saint-Gilloise II
Wins10
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-2
Biggest losses6-21-44-2
Goals For5212
Goals Against2644

Model comparison

MetricExcelsior VirtonUnion Saint-Gilloise II
Form100%0%
Att68%32%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Excelsior Virton and +2.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away6.48 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior Virton = 5.70 (league 1.56), Union Saint-Gilloise II = 1.79 (league 1.45)

Union Saint-Gilloise II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 2.5% 4.4% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.8% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 5.2% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1