Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:30 • Sportpark Molenkouter
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.56) 0.34 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 46.1% 17.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.4%
1 - 0
23.9%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tienen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 37.4% 12.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 8.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerelbekeTienen
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack27%27%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merelbeke Tienen
HATHAT
Played325426
Wins33%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws33%0%20%0%50%17%
Loses33%100%60%100%50%83%

Form: Merelbeke: LDLWL • Tienen: LLLLDL

League goals

Metric Merelbeke Tienen
HATHAT
GF total303213
GF avg1.00.00.60.50.50.5
GA total32510212
GA avg1.01.01.02.51.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerelbekeTienen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%100%33%100%
1.520%0%17%67%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerelbekeTienen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricMerelbekeTienen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMerelbekeTienen
Wins10
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses0-11-00-31-0
Goals For2021
Goals Against1131

Model comparison

MetricMerelbekeTienen
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total57.4%42.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Merelbeke or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merelbeke = 0.64 (league 1.56), Tienen = 0.34 (league 1.45)

Tienen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 37.4% 12.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 8.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 46.1% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1