Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Yvan Georges
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.56) 2.07 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 15.8% 21.4%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
3 - 1
5.8%
2 - 2
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Meux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
3 2.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsior VirtonMeux
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack67%73%
Defense33%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Virton Meux
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%50%25%38%
Draws25%50%38%0%25%13%
Loses25%25%25%50%50%50%

Form: Excelsior Virton: WLWDDDLW • Meux: DLLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Excelsior Virton Meux
HATHAT
GF total119207613
GF avg2.82.32.51.81.51.6
GA total812207714
GA avg2.03.02.51.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsior VirtonMeux
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%88%75%
1.588%100%25%63%
2.538%13%25%25%
3.513%13%13%13%
4.513%13%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsior VirtonMeux
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricExcelsior VirtonMeux
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricExcelsior VirtonMeux
Wins10
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-35-20-3
Biggest losses1-26-21-34-1
Goals For5353
Goals Against2634

Model comparison

MetricExcelsior VirtonMeux
Form40%60%
Att48%52%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total48.6%51.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Excelsior Virton or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Bet365
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away4.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior Virton = 3.22 (league 1.56), Meux = 2.07 (league 1.45)

Meux
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
3 2.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 21.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1