Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Sportpark Molenkouter
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.56) 1.58 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 23.2% 36.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 3.9% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.5% 10.2% 8.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.5% 6.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerelbekeLyra-Lierse Berlaar
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack31%77%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merelbeke Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%0%29%50%33%43%
Draws25%0%14%50%67%57%
Loses25%100%57%0%0%0%

Form: Merelbeke: LDLWLWL • Lyra-Lierse Berlaar: DWWDDDW

League goals

Metric Merelbeke Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
HATHAT
GF total5056713
GF avg1.30.00.71.52.31.9
GA total437167
GA avg1.01.01.00.32.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerelbekeLyra-Lierse Berlaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%100%71%57%
1.529%0%71%43%
2.50%0%29%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerelbekeLyra-Lierse Berlaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets000303
Failed to score134202

Penalties

MetricMerelbekeLyra-Lierse Berlaar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMerelbekeLyra-Lierse Berlaar
Wins12
Draws13
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-12-3
Biggest losses0-11-0
Goals For2043
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricMerelbekeLyra-Lierse Berlaar
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merelbeke = 1.66 (league 1.56), Lyra-Lierse Berlaar = 1.58 (league 1.45)

Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 3.9% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.5% 10.2% 8.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.5% 6.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 36.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1