Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:30 • Sportpark Molenkouter
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.54) 1.98 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 21.2% 40.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hoogstraten
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
1 4.1% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.3% 4.5% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerelbekeHoogstraten
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack33%33%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merelbeke Hoogstraten
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%0%22%20%75%44%
Draws20%0%11%40%0%22%
Loses40%100%67%40%25%33%

Form: Merelbeke: LDLWLWLLL • Hoogstraten: WWLWDLWDL

League goals

Metric Merelbeke Hoogstraten
HATHAT
GF total7076713
GF avg1.40.00.81.21.81.4
GA total88167815
GA avg1.62.01.81.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerelbekeHoogstraten
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%100%67%89%
1.533%22%56%44%
2.50%22%22%11%
3.50%22%0%11%
4.50%11%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerelbekeHoogstraten
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricMerelbekeHoogstraten
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMerelbekeHoogstraten
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-21-3
Biggest losses2-45-01-25-0
Goals For2033
Goals Against4525

Model comparison

MetricMerelbekeHoogstraten
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total42.0%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hoogstraten

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Marathonbet
No2.21 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merelbeke = 1.82 (league 1.54), Hoogstraten = 1.98 (league 1.45)

Hoogstraten
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
1 4.1% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.3% 4.5% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 40.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1