Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Gemeentelijk Sportstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.56) 0.31 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 21.7% 6.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
2 - 0
19.2%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Merelbeke
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diegem Sport 0 13.5% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 7.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiegem SportMerelbeke
Played55
Form27%0%
Attack56%19%
Defense31%6%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diegem Sport Merelbeke
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins0%33%18%33%0%18%
Draws20%17%18%17%0%9%
Loses80%50%64%50%100%73%

Form: Diegem Sport: LLLLDWDLLWL • Merelbeke: LDLWLWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Diegem Sport Merelbeke
HATHAT
GF total61319718
GF avg1.22.21.71.20.20.7
GA total121224101121
GA avg2.42.02.21.72.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiegem SportMerelbeke
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%100%45%100%
1.564%64%27%36%
2.527%45%0%27%
3.50%9%0%18%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiegem SportMerelbeke
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score202246

Penalties

MetricDiegem SportMerelbeke
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDiegem SportMerelbeke
Wins11
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-1—
Biggest losses0-23-22-45-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricDiegem SportMerelbeke
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.7%

Advice: Double chance : Diegem Sport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Diegem Sport = 1.69 (league 1.56), Merelbeke = 0.31 (league 1.53)

Merelbeke
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diegem Sport 0 13.5% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 7.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 6.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1