Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 18:30 • Sportpark Molenkouter
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.56) 2.01 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 21.2% 42.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dessel Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 2.3% 4.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.1% 8.2% 8.2% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerelbekeDessel Sport
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack39%89%
Defense17%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.416 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merelbeke Dessel Sport
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%17%25%67%17%42%
Draws17%0%8%17%33%25%
Loses50%83%67%17%50%33%

Form: Merelbeke: LDLWLWLLLLLW • Dessel Sport: DLLDDLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Merelbeke Dessel Sport
HATHAT
GF total7512161127
GF avg1.20.81.02.71.82.3
GA total10122291423
GA avg1.72.01.81.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerelbekeDessel Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%92%
1.533%33%58%67%
2.58%25%33%33%
3.58%17%25%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerelbekeDessel Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score246000

Penalties

MetricMerelbekeDessel Sport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMerelbekeDessel Sport
Wins14
Draws12
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-45-23-4
Biggest losses2-45-01-33-1
Goals For2454
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricMerelbekeDessel Sport
Form20%80%
Att30%70%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total29.8%70.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dessel Sport and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Betano
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merelbeke = 1.76 (league 1.56), Dessel Sport = 2.01 (league 1.53)

Dessel Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 2.3% 4.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.1% 8.2% 8.2% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 42.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1