Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 19:00 • Stade des Vert et Blanc
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.56) 1.96 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 19.3% 30.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior Virton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Meux 0 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.0% 6.0% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
2 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 3.0% 5.8% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
5 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMeuxExcelsior Virton
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack36%55%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Meux Excelsior Virton
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins67%25%43%71%43%57%
Draws0%38%21%14%29%21%
Loses33%38%36%14%29%21%

Form: Meux: DLLLLWWWLWWDWD • Excelsior Virton: WLWDDDLWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Meux Excelsior Virton
HATHAT
GF total111122201636
GF avg1.81.41.62.92.32.6
GA total81422101525
GA avg1.31.81.61.42.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMeuxExcelsior Virton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%79%93%86%
1.536%43%86%64%
2.514%21%50%7%
3.57%14%21%7%
4.57%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMeuxExcelsior Virton
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricMeuxExcelsior Virton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMeuxExcelsior Virton
Wins32
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-35-20-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-26-2
Goals For5354
Goals Against3426

Model comparison

MetricMeuxExcelsior Virton
Form48%52%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Excelsior Virton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Meux = 2.42 (league 1.56), Excelsior Virton = 1.96 (league 1.53)

Excelsior Virton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Meux 0 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.0% 6.0% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
2 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 3.0% 5.8% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
5 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 30.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1