Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 19:00 • Stade Yvan Georges
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.78 (league 1.58) 1.31 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 6.2% 4.3%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.5%
5 - 1
6.2%
3 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Standard Liège II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 6.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.7% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsior VirtonStandard Liège II
Played55
Form87%7%
Attack76%18%
Defense82%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Virton Standard Liège II
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%38%53%13%14%13%
Draws14%38%27%13%43%27%
Loses14%25%20%75%43%60%

Form: Excelsior Virton: WLWDDDLWWLWWWWD • Standard Liège II: LWDLDWLLDLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Excelsior Virton Standard Liège II
HATHAT
GF total20173791019
GF avg2.92.12.51.11.41.3
GA total101626151833
GA avg1.42.01.71.92.62.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsior VirtonStandard Liège II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%87%73%100%
1.580%60%33%73%
2.547%7%13%27%
3.520%7%7%13%
4.57%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsior VirtonStandard Liège II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricExcelsior VirtonStandard Liège II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricExcelsior VirtonStandard Liège II
Wins41
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-44-21-2
Biggest losses1-26-20-25-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against2635

Model comparison

MetricExcelsior VirtonStandard Liège II
Form93%7%
Att81%19%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total81.0%19.0%

Advice: Winner : Excelsior Virton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away6.93 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior Virton = 4.78 (league 1.58), Standard Liège II = 1.31 (league 1.49)

Standard Liège II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Virton 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 6.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.7% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1