Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • Sportpark Molenkouter
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.60) 1.82 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 22.7% 58.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.0%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Zelzate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 6.7% 12.1% 11.0% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerelbekeZelzate
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack35%53%
Defense47%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merelbeke Zelzate
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%29%43%36%
Draws29%0%14%29%14%21%
Loses43%86%64%43%43%43%

Form: Merelbeke: LDLWLWLLLLLWDL • Zelzate: WLWWDWLLLWDLDL

League goals

Metric Merelbeke Zelzate
HATHAT
GF total8513121224
GF avg1.10.70.91.71.71.7
GA total11142514923
GA avg1.62.01.82.01.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerelbekeZelzate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%86%86%
1.529%36%57%57%
2.57%21%29%21%
3.57%14%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerelbekeZelzate
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score257112

Penalties

MetricMerelbekeZelzate
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMerelbekeZelzate
Wins12
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-42-00-3
Biggest losses2-45-01-32-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against4532

Model comparison

MetricMerelbekeZelzate
Form44%56%
Att40%60%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h80%20%
Goals56%44%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Zelzate

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merelbeke = 0.89 (league 1.60), Zelzate = 1.82 (league 1.50)

Zelzate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merelbeke 0 6.7% 12.1% 11.0% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 58.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1