Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportpark Molenkouter
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.56)
3.12 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | 11.2% | 72.5% |
best score tips
0 - 3
9.7%
0 - 2
9.4%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting Hasselt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merelbeke | 0 | 1.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 53% | 100% |
| Defense | 74% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 21 | 4.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 25% | 31% | 70% | 71% | 71% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 12% |
| Loses | 38% | 75% | 56% | 20% | 14% | 18% |
Form: Merelbeke: LDLWLWLLLLLWDLWW • Sporting Hasselt: WWWWDLWLWWWWWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 94% | 76% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 31% | 71% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 19% | 47% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 13% | 41% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 35% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merelbeke | Sporting Hasselt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Sporting Hasselt and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merelbeke = 0.83 (league 1.56), Sporting Hasselt = 3.12 (league 1.53)
| Sporting Hasselt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merelbeke | 0 | 1.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 72.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1