Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade Yvan Georges
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.56)
2.39 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.0% | 19.5% | 48.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Tubize | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior Virton | 0 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior Virton | Tubize |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 63% | 68% |
| Defense | 84% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior Virton | Tubize | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 75% | 44% | 59% | 63% | 78% | 71% |
| Draws | 13% | 33% | 24% | 25% | 11% | 18% |
| Loses | 13% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 12% |
Form: Excelsior Virton: WLWDDDLWWLWWWWDWW • Tubize: DWWWWWWDWWLWWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior Virton | Tubize | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 18 | 43 | 18 | 23 | 41 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior Virton | Tubize | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 82% | 94% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 76% | 53% | 65% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 6% | 41% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 6% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior Virton | Tubize | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior Virton | Tubize |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior Virton | Tubize |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior Virton | Tubize |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 43.3% | 56.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tubize
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Excelsior Virton = 1.78 (league 1.56), Tubize = 2.39 (league 1.53)
| Tubize | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior Virton | 0 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 48.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1