Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Bergéstadion
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.60) 1.26 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 25.2% 31.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ninove
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tienen 0 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.5% 11.9% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTienenNinove
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack47%60%
Defense80%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.621 | 4.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tienen Ninove
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins40%30%35%20%11%16%
Draws0%30%15%10%22%16%
Loses60%40%50%70%67%68%

Form: Tienen: LLLLDLLDWWWLWLLWWDWL • Ninove: DLDDLWLLLLLLLWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Tienen Ninove
HATHAT
GF total11102119827
GF avg1.11.01.11.90.91.4
GA total21930352055
GA avg2.10.91.53.52.22.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTienenNinove
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%80%74%100%
1.535%40%37%89%
2.55%20%21%37%
3.50%5%11%21%
4.50%5%0%16%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTienenNinove
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score437055

Penalties

MetricTienenNinove
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTienenNinove
Wins32
Draws12
Losses47

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-32-3
Biggest losses0-52-11-64-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against5284

Model comparison

MetricTienenNinove
Form77%23%
Att44%56%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total66.5%33.7%

Advice: Double chance : Tienen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tienen = 1.51 (league 1.60), Ninove = 1.26 (league 1.50)

Ninove
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tienen 0 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.5% 11.9% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 31.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1