Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Bergéstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.60) 1.74 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 23.2% 43.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Merelbeke
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tienen 0 4.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.6% 6.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTienenMerelbeke
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack27%45%
Defense50%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tienen Merelbeke
HATHAT
Played111324121123
Wins45%23%33%42%27%35%
Draws0%23%13%25%0%13%
Loses55%54%54%33%73%52%

Form: Tienen: LLLLDLLDWWWLWLLWWDWLWLLL • Merelbeke: LDLWLWLLLLLWDLWWWDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Tienen Merelbeke
HATHAT
GF total141327191433
GF avg1.31.01.11.61.31.4
GA total221840172037
GA avg2.01.41.71.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTienenMerelbeke
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%70%96%
1.538%46%43%35%
2.58%29%17%17%
3.50%4%13%9%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTienenMerelbeke
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score448257

Penalties

MetricTienenMerelbeke
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTienenMerelbeke
Wins33
Draws11
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-11-4
Biggest losses0-53-02-45-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against5345

Model comparison

MetricTienenMerelbeke
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Merelbeke

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tienen = 1.46 (league 1.60), Merelbeke = 1.74 (league 1.50)

Merelbeke
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tienen 0 4.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.6% 6.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 43.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1