Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Armand Seghers Complex Terrein 1
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.65)
2.84 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.5% | 17.1% | 53.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 3
6.8%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Knokke | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zelzate | 0 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Knokke carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 97 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Zelzate -38.9, Knokke +13.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Zelzate
vs
Knokke
Elo gapKnokke +97
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo3109.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3109.2
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1488.7 | 1620.5 |
| Form Elo | 1472.3 | 1641.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484.8 | 1548.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1613.6 | 1617.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1379.3 | 1524.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -38.9 | +13.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Zelzate last-5 Elo change: -38.9; Knokke last-5 Elo change: +13.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Attack | 53% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 33% | 34% | 67% | 57% | 62% |
| Draws | 21% | 20% | 21% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 43% | 47% | 45% | 20% | 29% | 24% |
ZelzateWLWWDWLLLWDLDLLLWDDWDWWLLWLLL
KnokkeLWLWWDLLDWLWWWDWWLWWWDWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 28 | 50 | 24 | 29 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 28 | 30 | 58 | 17 | 25 | 42 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zelzate | Knokke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 86% | 83% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 66% | 62% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 38% | 31% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 4-8 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 2-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zelzate | Knokke |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 39.4% | 60.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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