Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Ochilview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 2.35) 0.72 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 23.5% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 8.8% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 10.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStenhousemuirKilmarnock II
Played22
Form100%0%
Attack28%11%
Defense89%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stenhousemuir Kilmarnock II
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%100%100%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%

Form: Stenhousemuir: WW • Kilmarnock II: LL

League goals

Metric Stenhousemuir Kilmarnock II
HATHAT
GF total235022
GF avg2.03.02.50.01.01.0
GA total112044
GA avg1.01.01.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStenhousemuirKilmarnock II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.5100%0%50%50%
2.550%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStenhousemuirKilmarnock II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricStenhousemuirKilmarnock II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStenhousemuirKilmarnock II
Wins20
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3
Biggest losses3-2
Goals For2302
Goals Against1103

Model comparison

MetricStenhousemuirKilmarnock II
Form100%0%
Att71%29%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Winner : Stenhousemuir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ 10Bet
Draw4.85 @ 188Bet
Away6.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stenhousemuir = 1.70 (league 2.35), Kilmarnock II = 0.72 (league 1.38)

Kilmarnock II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 8.8% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 10.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1