Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:45 • Broadwood Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 2.47) 2.50 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.6% 17.3% 63.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
St. Mirren U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamilton Academical 0 2.8% 6.9% 8.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.2%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.4% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.1% 4.3% 2.7% 1.3%
3 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamilton AcademicalSt. Mirren U21
Played33
Form44%44%
Attack40%47%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 27 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.78 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamilton Academical St. Mirren U21
HATHAT
Played213033
Wins0%100%33%—33%33%
Draws50%0%33%—33%33%
Loses50%0%33%—33%33%

Form: Hamilton Academical: DLW • St. Mirren U21: LWD

League goals

Metric Hamilton Academical St. Mirren U21
HATHAT
GF total246077
GF avg1.04.02.00.02.32.3
GA total325088
GA avg1.52.01.70.02.72.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamilton AcademicalSt. Mirren U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.567%67%100%100%
2.533%33%33%33%
3.533%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamilton AcademicalSt. Mirren U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricHamilton AcademicalSt. Mirren U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHamilton AcademicalSt. Mirren U21
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-4—2-3
Biggest losses2-3——4-2
Goals For2403
Goals Against3204

Model comparison

MetricHamilton AcademicalSt. Mirren U21
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.8%53.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Hamilton Academical or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Superbet
Draw5.25 @ Unibet
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamilton Academical = 1.09 (league 2.47), St. Mirren U21 = 2.50 (league 1.38)

St. Mirren U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamilton Academical 0 2.8% 6.9% 8.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.2%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.4% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.1% 4.3% 2.7% 1.3%
3 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 63.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1