Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • The Ross Commercial Finance K Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 2.35) 2.17 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 15.9% 22.6%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 2
5.6%
3 - 1
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hearts U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
East Kilbride 0 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.5% 3.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
2 2.4% 5.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.5% 5.5% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 2.1% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEast KilbrideHearts U21
Played44
Form50%25%
Attack42%32%
Defense53%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 2.311 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric East Kilbride Hearts U21
HATHAT
Played314044
Wins67%0%50%—25%25%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses33%100%50%—75%75%

Form: East Kilbride: WWLL • Hearts U21: LLLW

League goals

Metric East Kilbride Hearts U21
HATHAT
GF total808066
GF avg2.70.02.00.01.51.5
GA total63901111
GA avg2.03.02.30.02.82.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEast KilbrideHearts U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%100%
1.575%50%50%75%
2.550%50%25%50%
3.50%25%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEast KilbrideHearts U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricEast KilbrideHearts U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricEast KilbrideHearts U21
Wins20
Draws00
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1——2-3
Biggest losses2-43-0—4-1
Goals For3003
Goals Against4304

Model comparison

MetricEast KilbrideHearts U21
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : East Kilbride or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ William Hill
Draw7.50 @ Bet365
Away14.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): East Kilbride = 3.22 (league 2.35), Hearts U21 = 2.17 (league 1.38)

Hearts U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
East Kilbride 0 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.5% 3.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
2 2.4% 5.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.5% 5.5% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 2.1% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1