Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Eco Gen Stadium at Stair Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 2.47) 1.04 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 16.0% 12.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.8%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
St. Mirren U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 2.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStranraerSt. Mirren U21
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack63%56%
Defense63%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stranraer St. Mirren U21
HATHAT
Played415055
Wins75%0%60%—20%20%
Draws25%0%20%—20%20%
Loses0%100%20%—60%60%

Form: Stranraer: WWLWD • St. Mirren U21: LWDLL

League goals

Metric Stranraer St. Mirren U21
HATHAT
GF total10010099
GF avg2.50.02.00.01.81.8
GA total33601313
GA avg0.83.01.20.02.62.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStranraerSt. Mirren U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%100%
1.560%20%60%100%
2.540%20%20%40%
3.520%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStranraerSt. Mirren U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricStranraerSt. Mirren U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricStranraerSt. Mirren U21
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1——2-3
Biggest losses—3-0—4-2
Goals For4003
Goals Against1304

Model comparison

MetricStranraerSt. Mirren U21
Form71%29%
Att53%47%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.3%33.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stranraer or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away4.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stranraer = 2.63 (league 2.47), St. Mirren U21 = 1.04 (league 1.38)

St. Mirren U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 2.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1