Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
12.18 (league 1.64)
1.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
best score tips
5 - 1
0.4%
5 - 2
0.3%
5 - 0
0.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Bristol City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 50% |
| Attack | 80% | 30% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Southampton W: WD • Bristol City W: LW
League goals
| Metric | Southampton W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton W | Bristol City W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Southampton W and +3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Southampton W = 12.18 (league 1.64), Bristol City W = 1.46 (league 1.37)
| Bristol City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.7% · Draw 0.1% · Away win 0.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1