Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:00 •
Ashton Gate Stadium
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.69)
1.18 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.9% | 25.3% | 29.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nottingham Forest W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol City W | 0 | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 27% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
Form: Bristol City W: LWW • Nottingham Forest W: LWL
League goals
| Metric | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bristol City W | Nottingham Forest W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Bristol City W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bristol City W = 1.53 (league 1.69), Nottingham Forest W = 1.18 (league 1.44)
| Nottingham Forest W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol City W | 0 | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 29.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1