Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 • Maiden Castle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.64) 1.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 26.7% 57.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.5%
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 12.7% 18.5% 13.4% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurham WCrystal Palace W
Played33
Form33%44%
Attack36%55%
Defense64%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durham W Crystal Palace W
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%0%50%33%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%33%
Loses100%50%67%0%50%33%

Form: Durham W: WLL • Crystal Palace W: LDW

League goals

Metric Durham W Crystal Palace W
HATHAT
GF total134426
GF avg1.01.51.34.01.02.0
GA total224426
GA avg2.01.01.34.01.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurham WCrystal Palace W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%100%
1.533%67%67%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%33%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurham WCrystal Palace W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricDurham WCrystal Palace W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDurham WCrystal Palace W
Wins10
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-21-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-0
Goals For1242
Goals Against2241

Model comparison

MetricDurham WCrystal Palace W
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals24%76%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crystal Palace W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 0.61 (league 1.64), Crystal Palace W = 1.46 (league 1.37)

Crystal Palace W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 12.7% 18.5% 13.4% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 57.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1