Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 • Silverlake Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.64) 1.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.0% 26.7% 50.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton W 0 9.9% 14.5% 10.5% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.3% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.6% 5.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthampton WSunderland W
Played33
Form44%78%
Attack73%64%
Defense55%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.77 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.72 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton W Sunderland W
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%0%33%50%100%67%
Draws0%100%33%50%0%33%
Loses50%0%33%0%0%0%

Form: Southampton W: WDL • Sunderland W: WDW

League goals

Metric Southampton W Sunderland W
HATHAT
GF total448347
GF avg2.04.02.71.54.02.3
GA total145202
GA avg0.54.01.71.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthampton WSunderland W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%67%
1.567%33%67%0%
2.567%33%33%0%
3.567%33%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthampton WSunderland W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricSouthampton WSunderland W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSouthampton WSunderland W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-10-4
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For4424
Goals Against1410

Model comparison

MetricSouthampton WSunderland W
Form36%64%
Att53%47%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h40%60%
Goals56%44%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sunderland W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.63 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Superbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Southampton W = 0.85 (league 1.64), Sunderland W = 1.46 (league 1.37)

Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton W 0 9.9% 14.5% 10.5% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.3% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.6% 5.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 50.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1