Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
VBS Community Stadium
Expected Goals
5.90 (league 1.69)
5.57 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% |
best score tips
5 - 5
2.8%
5 - 4
2.5%
4 - 5
2.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Newcastle United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crystal Palace W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 33% |
| Attack | 47% | 33% |
| Defense | 53% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
69%
FT probability
BTTS
94%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 100% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Crystal Palace W: LDWD • Newcastle United W: WDLL
League goals
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Crystal Palace W or draw and +3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace W = 5.90 (league 1.69), Newcastle United W = 5.57 (league 1.44)
| Newcastle United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crystal Palace W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.2% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 8.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1