Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 11:00 • Maiden Castle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.72) 1.63 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.1% 22.5% 70.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.9%
0 - 2
19.5%
0 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 14.7% 23.9% 19.5% 10.6% 4.3% 1.4%
1 4.3% 6.9% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurham WNottingham Forest W
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack35%53%
Defense59%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durham W Nottingham Forest W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%100%60%
Draws50%0%20%0%0%0%
Loses50%67%60%67%0%40%

Form: Durham W: WLLDL • Nottingham Forest W: LWLWW

League goals

Metric Durham W Nottingham Forest W
HATHAT
GF total246639
GF avg1.01.31.22.01.51.8
GA total347516
GA avg1.51.31.41.70.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurham WNottingham Forest W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%80%
1.520%60%40%40%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurham WNottingham Forest W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDurham WNottingham Forest W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDurham WNottingham Forest W
Wins11
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-11-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-2—
Goals For1242
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricDurham WNottingham Forest W
Form31%69%
Att40%60%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Betfair
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away1.87 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 0.29 (league 1.72), Nottingham Forest W = 1.63 (league 1.38)

Nottingham Forest W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 14.7% 23.9% 19.5% 10.6% 4.3% 1.4%
1 4.3% 6.9% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 70.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1