Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
AGL Arena
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.72)
1.63 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 24.7% | 54.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 2
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Birmingham City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ipswich Town W | 0 | 8.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 31% | 81% |
| Defense | 38% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Ipswich Town W: LLDWL • Birmingham City W: WDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 80% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ipswich Town W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.3% |
Advice: Winner : Birmingham City W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ipswich Town W = 0.87 (league 1.72), Birmingham City W = 1.63 (league 1.38)
| Birmingham City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ipswich Town W | 0 | 8.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 54.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1