Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Gateshead International Stadium
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.64)
0.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.5% | 36.9% | 30.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 1
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bristol City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle United W | 0 | 22.5% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Newcastle United W: WDLLD • Bristol City W: LWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle United W | Bristol City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol City W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle United W = 0.76 (league 1.64), Bristol City W = 0.73 (league 1.37)
| Bristol City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle United W | 0 | 22.5% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 30.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1