Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Westleigh Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.64) 2.18 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 18.4% 67.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.5%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth W 0 5.3% 11.5% 12.5% 9.1% 5.0% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.7% 9.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.7%
2 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouth WSouthampton W
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack25%69%
Defense31%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth W Southampton W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%0%33%50%40%
Loses50%100%80%33%0%20%

Form: Portsmouth W: LLWLL • Southampton W: WDLDW

League goals

Metric Portsmouth W Southampton W
HATHAT
GF total1345611
GF avg0.51.00.81.73.02.2
GA total2911257
GA avg1.03.02.20.72.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouth WSouthampton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%80%
1.520%80%60%20%
2.50%40%40%20%
3.50%20%40%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouth WSouthampton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricPortsmouth WSouthampton W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPortsmouth WSouthampton W
Wins11
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-04-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-10-1
Goals For1244
Goals Against2414

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouth WSouthampton W
Form27%73%
Att27%73%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h7%93%
Goals8%92%
Total22.3%77.7%

Advice: Winner : Southampton W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth W = 0.76 (league 1.64), Southampton W = 2.18 (league 1.37)

Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth W 0 5.3% 11.5% 12.5% 9.1% 5.0% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.7% 9.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.7%
2 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 67.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1