Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • The Valley
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.72) 0.80 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 33.5% 29.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton Athletic W 0 17.6% 14.1% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.4% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharlton Athletic WSouthampton W
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack25%50%
Defense95%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charlton Athletic W Southampton W
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%100%71%25%67%43%
Draws67%0%29%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%29%

Form: Charlton Athletic W: WWDWWDW • Southampton W: WDLDWWL

League goals

Metric Charlton Athletic W Southampton W
HATHAT
GF total26871118
GF avg0.71.51.11.83.72.6
GA total1125712
GA avg0.30.30.31.32.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharlton Athletic WSouthampton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%29%86%86%
1.529%0%71%43%
2.50%0%43%29%
3.50%0%43%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharlton Athletic WSouthampton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricCharlton Athletic WSouthampton W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCharlton Athletic WSouthampton W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-02-5
Biggest losses——2-3—
Goals For1245
Goals Against1134

Model comparison

MetricCharlton Athletic WSouthampton W
Form61%39%
Att33%67%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h80%20%
Goals88%13%
Total68.2%32.0%

Advice: Double chance : Charlton Athletic W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 1xBet
Away3.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Charlton Athletic W = 0.94 (league 1.72), Southampton W = 0.80 (league 1.38)

Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton Athletic W 0 17.6% 14.1% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.4% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1