Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 19:00 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.69) 2.72 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.8% 14.0% 71.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.7%
0 - 3
9.7%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest W 0 2.9% 7.8% 10.7% 9.7% 6.6% 3.6%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.8% 8.0% 5.4% 3.0%
2 1.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham Forest WBirmingham City W
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack50%55%
Defense55%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest W Birmingham City W
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%50%67%57%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%14%
Loses67%25%43%50%0%29%

Form: Nottingham Forest W: LWLWWLW • Birmingham City W: WDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest W Birmingham City W
HATHAT
GF total661210717
GF avg2.01.51.72.52.32.4
GA total5611628
GA avg1.71.51.61.50.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham Forest WBirmingham City W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%86%
1.543%57%57%29%
2.529%14%43%0%
3.514%0%43%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham Forest WBirmingham City W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricNottingham Forest WBirmingham City W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNottingham Forest WBirmingham City W
Wins22
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-35-10-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-2—
Goals For4354
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricNottingham Forest WBirmingham City W
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.8%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Birmingham City W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.92 @ Pinnacle
Away1.98 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest W = 0.83 (league 1.69), Birmingham City W = 2.72 (league 1.44)

Birmingham City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest W 0 2.9% 7.8% 10.7% 9.7% 6.6% 3.6%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.8% 8.0% 5.4% 3.0%
2 1.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.8% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 71.3%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1