Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 12:00 • Silverlake Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.73) 1.21 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 25.0% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Durham W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton W 0 6.2% 7.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthampton WDurham W
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack52%33%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton W Durham W
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%25%25%25%
Draws25%25%25%50%0%25%
Loses50%25%38%25%75%50%

Form: Southampton W: WDLDWWLL • Durham W: WLLDLWLD

League goals

Metric Southampton W Durham W
HATHAT
GF total712196511
GF avg1.83.02.41.51.31.4
GA total59144610
GA avg1.32.31.81.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthampton WDurham W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%100%75%
1.563%50%25%50%
2.538%25%13%0%
3.538%13%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthampton WDurham W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricSouthampton WDurham W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSouthampton WDurham W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-53-00-2
Biggest losses2-32-11-22-1
Goals For4532
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricSouthampton WDurham W
Form58%42%
Att61%39%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total48.2%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Durham W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Southampton W = 1.56 (league 1.73), Durham W = 1.21 (league 1.40)

Durham W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton W 0 6.2% 7.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 29.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1