Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.13 (league 1.69) 1.57 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 9.8% 8.7%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.4%
3 - 1
6.2%
5 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Portsmouth W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City W 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.9% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.4% 5.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirmingham City WPortsmouth W
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack77%77%
Defense69%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.815 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham City W Portsmouth W
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%75%63%50%25%38%
Draws0%25%13%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%50%75%63%

Form: Birmingham City W: WDWWLWLW • Portsmouth W: LLWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Birmingham City W Portsmouth W
HATHAT
GF total1010205611
GF avg2.52.52.51.31.51.4
GA total62881119
GA avg1.50.51.02.02.82.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirmingham City WPortsmouth W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%75%88%
1.563%25%50%75%
2.550%0%13%38%
3.538%0%0%25%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirmingham City WPortsmouth W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricBirmingham City WPortsmouth W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBirmingham City WPortsmouth W
Wins21
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-42-12-3
Biggest losses1-2—2-54-1
Goals For5423
Goals Against2154

Model comparison

MetricBirmingham City WPortsmouth W
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%13%
Total70.6%29.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Birmingham City W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Bet365
Draw10.86 @ Pinnacle
Away23.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City W = 4.13 (league 1.69), Portsmouth W = 1.57 (league 1.44)

Portsmouth W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City W 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.9% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.4% 5.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 9.8% · Away win 8.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1