Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:00 • The Valley
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.69) 0.70 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 28.1% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton Athletic W 0 12.8% 8.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharlton Athletic WBristol City W
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack33%76%
Defense90%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.416 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charlton Athletic W Bristol City W
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%100%75%75%50%63%
Draws50%0%25%0%25%13%
Loses0%0%0%25%25%25%

Form: Charlton Athletic W: WWDWWDWW • Bristol City W: LWWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Charlton Athletic W Bristol City W
HATHAT
GF total461012820
GF avg1.01.51.33.02.02.5
GA total2133912
GA avg0.50.30.40.82.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharlton Athletic WBristol City W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%38%100%63%
1.538%0%63%50%
2.50%0%25%13%
3.50%0%25%13%
4.50%0%13%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharlton Athletic WBristol City W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricCharlton Athletic WBristol City W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCharlton Athletic WBristol City W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-27-02-4
Biggest losses——1-25-1
Goals For2274
Goals Against1125

Model comparison

MetricCharlton Athletic WBristol City W
Form57%43%
Att30%70%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol City W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Charlton Athletic W = 1.36 (league 1.69), Bristol City W = 0.70 (league 1.44)

Bristol City W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton Athletic W 0 12.8% 8.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1