Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:00 • Gateshead International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.72) 1.88 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 19.5% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 2
18.0%
0 - 3
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle United W 0 10.1% 19.1% 18.0% 11.3% 5.3% 2.0%
1 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
2 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle United WSunderland W
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack69%46%
Defense46%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle United W Sunderland W
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins0%40%25%20%33%25%
Draws67%40%50%20%67%38%
Loses33%20%25%60%0%38%

Form: Newcastle United W: WDLLDDWD • Sunderland W: WDWDLDLL

League goals

Metric Newcastle United W Sunderland W
HATHAT
GF total311147613
GF avg1.02.21.81.42.01.6
GA total491311213
GA avg1.31.81.62.20.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle United WSunderland W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%100%88%88%
1.563%38%50%38%
2.513%13%13%25%
3.513%13%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle United WSunderland W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricNewcastle United WSunderland W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewcastle United WSunderland W
Wins11
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-42-10-4
Biggest losses0-14-22-4—
Goals For2424
Goals Against2441

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle United WSunderland W
Form75%25%
Att60%40%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle United W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away6.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Newcastle United W = 0.41 (league 1.72), Sunderland W = 1.88 (league 1.38)

Sunderland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle United W 0 10.1% 19.1% 18.0% 11.3% 5.3% 2.0%
1 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
2 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 72.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1