Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 12:00 • Maiden Castle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.72) 0.36 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.7% 8.1% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
15.3%
4 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ipswich Town W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.9% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurham WIpswich Town W
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack44%25%
Defense63%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.220 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durham W Ipswich Town W
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%20%0%11%
Draws50%20%33%0%25%11%
Loses25%60%44%80%75%78%

Form: Durham W: WLLDLWLDD • Ipswich Town W: LLDWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Durham W Ipswich Town W
HATHAT
GF total6612527
GF avg1.51.21.31.00.50.8
GA total4711131427
GA avg1.01.41.22.63.53.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurham WIpswich Town W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%44%89%
1.522%44%22%78%
2.511%0%11%56%
3.50%0%0%44%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurham WIpswich Town W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000235

Penalties

MetricDurham WIpswich Town W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDurham WIpswich Town W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-2—
Biggest losses1-22-10-47-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2247

Model comparison

MetricDurham WIpswich Town W
Form100%0%
Att64%36%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total77.3%22.7%

Advice: Winner : Durham W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Unibet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 3.05 (league 1.72), Ipswich Town W = 0.36 (league 1.38)

Ipswich Town W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.9% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.7% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1